Shortages Have Led to Gluts
Inventory gluts have been bad news for the stocks of companies experiencing them, but could also be indicating an inflation peak, which tends to be an ingredient for market bottoms.
Recession: The Risk Is in the Reversal
Investors often notice the overall direction of markets; missed changes in asset classes under the surface could see a shark attack take a big bite out of unprepared portfolios.
Schwab Market Perspective: Price Shock
Inflation continues to run hot, raising the prospect that the Federal Reserve will tighten monetary policy more sharply than expected—possibly tipping the U.S. economy into recession.
2022 Mid-Year Market Outlook: Under Pressure
Economic uncertainty may have peaked in the first half of 2022, but it remains high. Stocks are likely to continue to feel the weight of Federal Reserve policy tightening, shrinking market liquidity and slower economic growth.
2022 Mid-Year Outlook: Global Stocks and Economy
Economic uncertainty may have peaked in the first half of 2022 but could still contribute to volatility and affect market performance for the remainder of the year.
The Three Bears?
Stocks, bonds, and cash are all in a bear market or teetering on the edge of one—a very rare event. Over the past 72 years, there have only been two prior periods with a triple bear.
Recession in China?
The world's second-largest economy and consumer market has likely slipped into a recession, at least by China's standards.
Hedging Stocks Against Rising Rates
Consider hedging the possible risk of higher interest rates with the addition of short duration stocks, a potential way to manage risk while remaining invested in the markets.
Deglobalization Is Political, Not Economic
Politics may have little impact on economic globalization or corporate profits—which gives little reason for investors to deglobalize their portfolios, despite the headlines.
War: Impact on Earnings
The geopolitical impact on earnings, the most important driver of stock prices, has remained modest so far; global companies appear to be on a path for earnings growth in 2022.