Welcome to the Next Temperamental Era
On Investing | EP121
Welcome to the Next Temperamental Era
In this episode, Liz Ann Sonders and Collin Martin discuss what may be one of the most important long-term shifts facing investors: the end of the "Great Moderation" Era, the roughly 25-year period characterized by globalization, low inflation, relatively stable economic growth, and favorable conditions for both stocks and bonds. Liz Ann argues that investors may be entering a more "Temperamental" Era marked by greater inflation volatility, shifting supply chains, geopolitical disruptions, and a different relationship between bond yields and stock prices.
The conversation explores how globalization, abundant labor, cheap goods, and plentiful energy helped suppress inflation for decades—and why those forces may be fading. Collin then examines the bond market, highlighting why Treasury yields remain elevated even as oil prices have retreated from recent highs. Inflation pressures beyond energy, resilient economic growth, and expectations for Federal Reserve policy are helping keep yields high. Finally, Collin and Liz Ann preview earnings season and next week's economic calendar.
Visit Schwab.com to read the article by Liz Ann Sonders and Kevin Gordon titled "Great Moderation Era: Drift(ing) Away."
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